Program of the conference

The conference will take place during Thur. 19.06.2025 9am-1pm, 2.30 pm 6.30 pm - Fri. 20.06.2025, 9am-1pm. We expect to host 3-4 invited presentations (including the Leonardo Lecture) and poster contributions that will be organised around the 3 Research Questions that will be explored during each half day. Some of the posters will be invited to ensure coherence in the development of discussions. The discussion will be organised in working groups visiting the poster and plenary discussions. Coffee breaks and lunch breaks will be organised to stimulate poster attendance and “coffee hot topics”.

Flyer

Flyer of the conference

[ .pdf 3924Kb ]

19 June 2025

Surprising floods and droughts

Morning session

8:30 - 9:00

Welcome

Badge pick-up and reciprocal introduction
9:00 - 9:20

Opening
9:20 - 10:00

Invited lecture: From Climate Shifts to Flood Changes at Local and Regional Scales

Alberto Viglione (Politecnico di Torino):
10:00 - 10:15

Flood generation processes: a tool for understanding hydrological changes and impacts

Larisa Tarasova (Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung GmbH - UFZ)
10:15 - 10:30

Estimating very rare floods at multiple sites in a large river basin with comprehensive hydrometeorological simulations

Daniel Viviroli (University of Zürich)
10:30 - 10:45

Uncertainties in extreme flood estimates using long continuous simulations

Eleni Kritidou (University of Zurich)
10:45 - 11:00

Foretelling rivers prone to unprecedented extreme floods from everyday hydrologic dynamics

Stefano Basso (Norwegian University of Science and Technology)
11:00 - 11:20

Coffee break
11:20 - 13:00

Pop-up presentations and discussion

List of pop-up presentations, 2 minutes each, max 2 slides - Posters exposed in the poster area for the whole duration of the conference

11:20-11:22: Carmelo Cammalleri et al. (Politecnico di Milano, Italy), Anticipating droughts: A seasonal forecast tool based on spatio-temporal clustering

11:23-11:25: Lorenza Cappellato et al. (Sapienza University of Rome, Italy), The PRIME Index: Prioritization of cultivated Regions IMpacted by drought in agriculturE

11:26-11:28: Paola Fezzigna et al. (Private, Netherlands), Data injustice and attribution of drought events: implications for global climate policy

11:29-11:31: Marlies H. Barendrecht et al. (King's College London, United Kingdom) Investigating socio-hydrological feedbacks in drought and flood risk adaptation: a comparative analysis using the paired events dataset

11:32-11:34: Virginia Rosa Coletta et al. (Water Research Institute - National Research Council, Italy), Assessing the multi-dimensional impacts of drought on irrigated agroecosystems using a holistic set of indicators

11:35-11:37: Maria Francesca Caruso et al. (Padova, Italy), Extreme droughts in space and time: a non-asymptotic extreme value framework

11:38-11:40: Emanuele Mombrini et al. (Politecnico di Torino, Italy), Drough managment in north-western Italy: an interview-based characterization

11:41-11:43: Benedetta Rivella et al. (Politecnico of Turin, Italy), Characterizing drought and its impacts on the water supply system in the Province of Cuneo

11:44-11:46: Ryan Padrón et al. (Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Switzerland), Operational machine learning aided sub-seasonal forecasting of drought related extremes

11:47-11:49: Marinella, Masina et al. (CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Italy), Spatiotemporal characteristics of drought and hot events in the Adige River basin

11:50-11:52: Eduardo Muñoz-Castro et al. (WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos Dorf, Switzerland), Sensitivity of drought-to-flood transitions to initial hydrological conditions and meteorological forcings

11:53-11:55: Fatima Pillosu et al. (ECMWF, University of Reading, UK), Understanding low-probability forecasts of high impact hydrological events more useful for society
Simon Moulds et al. (University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom), Advancing decadal predictions of floods and droughts

11:56-11:58: Afshin Shafei et al. (Sapienza University of Rome, Italy), Integrating HPC, AI, and big data for enhanced early-warning systems in hydrological extremes: insights from Ghana's tree crop sector

11:59-12:01: Rui Guo et al. (University of Bologna, Italy), Long-term influence of climate variability on hydrological extremes across European alpine rivers

12:02-12:04: Piero Turrà (CMCC, Italy), Assessing the impacts of heavy rainfall events in terms of soil loss: The Emilia Romagna region case study

12:05-12:07: Aras Izzaddin et al. (Politecnico di Bari, Italy), Evaluating and ranking high-resolution climate models using machine learning and the Aras diagram: A case study over Emilia-Romagna, Italy

12:08-12:10: Emanuele Romano et al. (National Research Council of Italy - Water Research Institute, Italy), Reuse of treated wastewater in agriculture: is it always a sustainable adaptation measure?

12:11-12:13: Rafael Pimentel et al. (University of Cordoba, Spain), When water quality drives a water scarcity situation: The North of Cordoba water crisis 2023-2024

12:14-12:16: Felipe Pineroli et al. (Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Brazil), Water quality following hydrologic extremes: four decades of local and regional scale events in the Itaipu Reservoir

12:17 - 12:19: Simon Moulds et al. (University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom), Advancing decadal predictions of floods and droughts

12:20 - 12:22: Alan Spadoni et al. (University of Bologna), An Open-Source Tool for Generating Hourly Synthetic Streamflow Series in Ungauged Basins Using Regional Flow-Duration Curves

Collective discussion of posters and oral talks will take place after the last pop-up presentation.

Afternoon session

14:00 - 14:45

Leonardo Lecture: Flood risk assessment and management in dynamic human-water systems

Heidi Kreibich (GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences)
14.45 - 16.15

Pop-up presentations and discussion

List of pop-up presentations, 2 minutes each, max 2 slides - Posters exposed in the poster area for the whole duration of the conference

14:45 - 14:47: Giulio Paradiso et al. (Polytechnic of Turin, Italy), The role of building roofs in pluvial urban flood modeling

14:48 - 14:50: Ahmed Owais Durrani et al. (IUSS Pavia), Understanding urban flood resilience: The role of green roofs in risk reduction

14:51 - 14:53: Hasan Yücel (Mustafa Kemal University, Türkiye), Building climate resilience through integrated flood and drought management

14:54 - 14:56: Bailey Anderson et al. (WSL Institute of Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Switzerland), The probability of rapid swings in streamflow across Europe

14:57 - 14:59: Flavia Marconi et al. (Department of Civil, Constructional and Environmental Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy), Projecting hydropower production across the Upper Colorado River Basin

15:00 - 15:02: Ilaria Delfini et al. (Department of Civil, Chemical, Environmental, and Materials Engineering (DICAM), Alma Mater Studiorum – Università di Bologna, Italy), Comparison of physics-based and machine learning approaches for sustainable groundwater management: a case study in Emilia-Romagna (Italy)

15:03 - 15:05: Debhora Bonfiglio et al. (aizoOn consulting srl, Italy), Predicting vector-borne disease risk using Earth observation and machine learning: A case study in northern Italy

15:06 - 15:08: Enrico Lucca et al. (Department of Agriculture, Food, Environment and Forestry, University of Florence, Italy), Understanding human-water relationships across the Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems Nexus in a mountain catchment in northern Italy

15:09 - 15:11: Gokhan Sarigil et al. (University of Bologna, Italy), Comparing snow water equivalent reanalyses and optimizing rainfall-runoff models in northern Italy

15:12 - 15:14: Shafayet Rahman (Chittagong University of Engineering and Technology, Bangladesh), AI-Driven structural health monitoring for enhancing flood resilience in critical infrastructure

15:15 - 15:17: Christian Czakay et al. (Goethe University Frankfurt), Germany, Rain-on-snow floods in climate scenarios in Germany

15:18 - 15:20: Jose Luis Salinas Illarena et al. (Moody's RMS, United Kingdom), Compound, cascading, and multihazard perils: lessons learnt from hurricanes Helene and Milton

15:21 - 15:23: Georgia Papacharalampous et al. (Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Legnaro, Italy), A massive compilation of interpretable features for analyzing Alpine storm precipitation climatology

15:24 - 15:26: Stefania Oliva et al. (CMCC-REHMI Division, Italy), Indicator-based analysis of climate extremes using a convection-permitting model

15:27 - 15:29: Paul C. Astagneau et al. (WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Switzerland), Impact of time aggregation on dominant high-flow regimes

15:30 - 15:32: Long Yang et al. (Nanjing University, China), Substantial increase in unprecedented flood risk revealed by kilometer-scale rainfall projection with emergent dynamics constraints

15:33 - 15:35: Giuditta Smerilli et al. (University of Bologna), Regional Calibration of a Lumped Hourly Hydrological Model Using a Decision-Tree Approach

Collective discussion of posters and oral talks will take place after the last pop-up presentation.
16:15 - 16:40

Coffee break
16:40 - 17:00

The hydrological system as a living organism

Hubert Savenije (Delft University Technology)
17:00 - 17:20

Heavy storm characteristics and extreme precipitation statistics

Eleonora Dallan (University of Padua)
17:20 - 17:40

Investigating temporal changes in ordinary and extraordinary precipitation extremes over Italy

Paola Mazzoglio (Politecnico di Torino)
17:40 - 18:00

What happened and what did we know about the risk of flooding of the Poyo ravine? The floods in the south of Valencia on October 29, 2024

Félix Francés (Universitat Politècnica de València)
18:00 - 18:30

Wrap-up day 1

20 June 2025

Technology transfer andinnovative solution to enhance infrastructure resilience

Morning session

9:00 - 9.40

Invited lecture: When shifts are the extremes in hydrology: how to face, manage, and communicate water risks in highly regulated river basins

María José Polo (University of Cordoba)
9:40 - 9:55

Have river flow droughts become more severe? A review of the evidence from the UK, a data-rich, temperate environment

Jamie Hannaford (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
9:55 - 10:10

Exploitation of satellite data for flood mapping of the November 2023 flood in Tuscany, Italy

Beatrice Carlini (National Research Council, Italy)
10:10 - 10:25

Transdisciplinary modeling of unexpected drought risks: A human-water systems approach for historically water-abundant rural-urban regions

Christian Klassert (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Germany)
10:25 - 10:45

Discussion
10:45 - 11:10

Coffee break
11:10 - 12:45

Pop-up presentations and discussion

List of pop-up presentations, 2 minutes each, max 2 slides - Posters exposed in the poster area for the whole duration of the conference

11:10 - 11:12: Thomas, Kjeldsen et al. (University of Bath, United Kingdom), Monte Carlo based reconstruction of a historical flood event

11:13 - 11:15: Cesar Arturo Sanchez Peña et al. (University of Padova, Italy), Estimates of point rainfall extremes from satellite precipitation products: test of sensitivity

11:16 - 11:18: Rashid Akbary et al. (University of Padua, Italy), Catchment-scale perspectives on future changes in sub-daily extreme precipitation: insights from convection-permitting climate models

11:19 - 11:21: Nicolò Fidelibus et al. (Istituto Universitario di Studi Superiori di Pavia, Italy), Risk assessment of riverine flood hazards on the topology of the Italian highway network

11:22 - 11:24: Anna Basso et al. (Politecnico di Torino, Italy), A distributed rainfall-runoff model to explore the connection between floods and climate extremes in the European Alps

11:25 - 11:27: Miriam Bertola et al. (Vienna University of Technology, Austria), Assessing the potential for surprising megafloods in Austria: the September 2024 event

11:28 - 11:30: Matteo Darienzo et al. (Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, University of Padova, Italy), Non-stationary analysis of satellite rainfall extremes in Italy

11:31 - 11:33: Francesco Deflorio et al. (Politecnico di Torino, Italy), Simulation of wide road network flows to identify critical bridges in flash-flood events

11:34 - 11:36: Ilaria Prosdocimi et al. (Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Italy), Annual maxima or peaks over threshold: a study of UK flood records

11:37 - 11:39: Auguste Gires et al. (École nationale des ponts et chaussées, France), Universal multifracals characterization of intensity-duration-frequency curves in northern Italy

11:40 - 11:42: Luisa Fuest (RWTH Aachen, Germany), Automating flood analysis: A QGIS plugin for accessible and rapid flood event assessment

11:43 - 11:45: Elisa Grazia Lucia Nobile et al. (University School for Advanced Studies - IUSS Pavia, Italy), Modeling cascading economic impacts of floods on critical infrastructure: a case study of Italy

11:46 - 11:48: Ankita Bhattacharya et al. (British Geological Survey, United Kingdom), Impact of groundwater in compound flooding: a case study of the Conwy Estuary in Wales, UK

11:49 - 11:51: Angelo Avino et al. (University of Naples Federico II, Italy), Assessing the impact of detention dams on flood frequency distributions: application to the Ottenstein (Austria) and Camastra (Italy) dams

11:52 - 11:54: Serena Ceola et al. (Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Italy), Flood risk and public perception: insights from Emilia-Romagna and Tuscany after the 2023 flood events

11:55 - 11:57: Andrea Magnini et al. (University of Bologna), Teleconnection-informed frequency analysis of rainfall extremes

Collective discussion of posters and oral talks will take place after the last pop-up presentation.
12:45 - 13:30

Conference wrap-up
13:30 - 14:30

Lunch